Which federal bracket this lands in
The $16,100 standard deduction leaves $33,820 of taxable income, which puts the last dollar in the 12% federal bracket. Only $21,420 of it is actually taxed at 12% — the income below $12,400 is taxed at the lower rates first, which is why the effective rate lands well under the bracket number. The 12% band runs to $50,400, so a raise of about $16,580 would be needed before any dollar is taxed at 22%.
Where this sits in Minnesota's schedule
Minnesota runs a graduated schedule of 4 bands. After $15,300 of state deductions it taxes $34,620, putting the top dollar in the 6.8% band and producing $1,871 of state tax — 3.75% of gross pay. Its 6.8% band ends at $109,430 of state taxable income, $74,810 above where this salary lands.
Marginal rate is not the rate paid
Federal income tax of $3,810 on $49,920 of gross pay is 7.63% of the salary, against a 12% marginal bracket — a gap of about 4.4 points. The bracket describes the next dollar earned, not the pay already earned, and quoting the bracket as the tax rate overstates the bill by $2,180 at this salary.
What a $1/hr raise is actually worth
A dollar more an hour is $2,080 more a year at 2,080 paid hours. Against a combined marginal rate of about 26.45% -- the 12% federal band, Minnesota's 6.8%, 1.45% Medicare and 6.2% Social Security -- roughly $1,530 of that reaches the bank, or about $0.74 of the extra dollar.